THE DEEP STATE’S LAST STAND? (UPDATE)
CPN199 continued from CPN196 first posted on 30 October 2023
A DAGGER OF EVIL
The ongoing, seemingly unstoppable, genocide being committed by the state of Israel in Gaza has thrust a dagger of evil into the heart of geopolitical relations worldwide. 2023 did not start well but it is going to end in a much worse state primarily through Israel’s action. The outcome for 2024 is uncertain, particularly in the west, and there is reason to be fearful (as I wrote in the newsletter of 30 October 2023 - “The Deep State’s Last Stand?”) - very fearful.
I wrote on 30th October that the background behind Israel’s attack was the US deep state’s desire to provoke a major war, into which the US would claim it was drawn, in order to provide a means to sabotage the election of President Trump in less than a year’s time. His election would spell existential disaster for the deep state and this they cannot contemplate and face up to as being any part of their reality. The mightiest evils imaginable are just part of their playbook and so a major war, even world war, becomes for them a welcome goal.
The attack on “civilians” in southern Israel on 7th October, I suggested, as many did, was a false flag designed to justified the attack on Gaza. More and more evidence of this is leaking out and it is now well established that Israeli forces were responsible for, at least, some of the murders of Israeli citizens on that day. The full picture is not yet clear but what is certain is that the events of the 7th are palling into insignificance compared to the Israeli atrocities now continuing. They are less and less mentioned
According to expert commentator and former US marine and UN weapons inspector, Scott Ritter, the Israeli army invading Gaza is no match for the Hamas fighters. Young Israeli conscripts are being blown to pieces in their heavily armed tanks as Hamas take advantage of their mobility, excellent weaponry and knowledge of a devastated terrain. And Hamas are motivated whereas many Israeli soldiers just want to go home. Some have come out openly and said that they did not sign up to be murderers of innocent civilians. I am sure they did not, but the toll is now over 15,000 Palestinians with half of them children.
Because the ground invasion is failing, Israel is resorting to air attacks on soft targets, like hospitals and schools, for that is the only way they can continue the fight. Whatever their original intention, the plan now is clearly to eliminate all Palestinians in Gaza, whether by killing them or expelling them. Egypt has said it cannot accommodate thousands of refugees and so the former option is the most likely. It is all the same to the Netanyahu and his cabinet. The video of uncomfortable-looking Israeli children singing about a land purified of non-Israelis is a chilling statement of government intent.
THE WIDER WAR
But what of the US plan for a wider war to alleviate their domestic dangers to Biden and his deep state handlers? They hoped that the outrageous and sickening massacre of Palestinians in Gaza would provoke the surrounding Muslim countries, from Turkey, to Egypt and Iran, into a military response and that this could be used to trigger a US involvement and so the desired wider war. They relied on these states’ emotional reaction to the horrors to determine their response.
But these countries are cleverer than the neocons – let’s face it, who isn’t? I think they reasoned that any military intervention they made would not save a single Palestinian life but on the contrary an absence of response would mean that internationally all the blame and opprobrium would clearly be laid at Israel’s door. And importantly this blame will be shared by Israel’s partners in the west, especially the US and the UK. America continues to supply Israel with bombs and guns and ammunition without which the Israeli genocide would be brought to a halt.
The Muslim countries have wisely confined their actions to diplomacy and working through the UN to gain international support. This has the additional advantage that western countries are seen to be opposing any meaningful cease fires exposing the callousness of their geopolitical objectives
However, there is one exception to the Muslim states sitting on their hands as regards military action and this is the Houthis of Northern Yemen. Sitting alongside one of the world’s great strategic pinch points, namely the entrance to the Red Sea they have been able to prevent any commercial shipping from passing. This means the long and turbulent voyage around the Cape of Good Hope has to be used at great cost and delays.
The US has poured naval ships into the region, not to combat the Houthi’s but in the hope that a Houthi drone will accidently strike on of their ships which can then be used as a pretext for military response. The fact that the lives of US seamen are put in harm’s way is of course of no concern. But a problem with this ploy is that the Houthis’ use Iranian drones which are recognised as being some of the best, if not the best, in the world and they don’t miss their targets. The Russians certainly think so as they are avid purchasers of these weapons
So currently there is a standoff between Israel and its western allies and suppliers of arms and the Muslim states with the tension heightened by the Yemeni blockade of Gulf of Aden. Incidentally this does not apply to ships of Russia which the Houthis regard as a long term friend and ally. The US is desperately hoping for an incident that would provoke an escalation and in the absence of one happening either by accident or design may well create one using their time-honoured method of the false flag. Wherever this goes, such a fragile situation cannot hold.
Meanwhile the Israelis continue their genocide in Gaza unhindered. The fact, that they may be organising their own funeral as nations all over the world turn away from them in disgust, the leadership has not faced up to. Does the “right to self defence” apply to nations whose evil conduct is rejected by the world community of nations? Whether it does or not will play out over time - maybe years, maybe decades – or maybe just weeks.
THE HOUTHIS
But returning to Israel’s imminent neighbours in the Muslim countries, there is one fact that I have not seen remarked upon. We see the Yemenis as the only country that has taken any kind of military action but this should highlight an important, if unspoken, realignment. The Saudis have not interfered with the Houthi action.
Saudi Arabia, supplied with US weapons, waged a long war against the Houthi’s that served no real strategic aim apart from bringing good business to the US arms industry. It looked like an easy kill to take out a small, seemingly disorganised, group like the Houthi’s and to carry off their defeat as a shabby trophy. The driver behind the war was that the Houthi’s are Shia’s, whereas of course the Saudis are Sunnis – a thin and ultimately unsustainable reason for conflict.
The other Shia countries of the region are Syria and Iran which the US regards as arch enemies, so the attacks on the Houthis looked like a good fit for Saudi US relations. But the Houthis it turned out knew how to fight and the motivational advantage in a war always lies with the invaded not the invaders as the former have everything at stake.
MUSLIM COUNTRIES COMING TOGETHER
Fast forward to today and the Saudis remain mum while the Houthis threaten the shipping of traditional Saudi western allies. But this must go beyond the trauma of the Saudi’s experience of the Houthis. it is part of an important geopolitical realignment taking place in the middle and near east amongst the Muslim nations whereby quite simply they are coming together. China’s brokering of a détente between Saudi Arabia and Iran is just one significant building block in this process
The Zionist atrocities in Gaza have accelerated this coming together. This has not led, as the US neocons, Biden and Sunak hoped, to a wider regional war, but more simply a further isolation and ostracising of Israel. Israel will destroy as much of Gaza as they can and kill as many of its population as it can. And let us not forget that, alongside this, goes in increasing killing and expulsion of Palestinians in the West Bank. Israel is becoming an object of hate throughout the world - with the sole exception of the political classes and fervent Zionists in western countries. Real Jews everywhere often partake of this feeling towards the upstart state.
US POLITICS THE DRIVER
As I argued in CPN196 THE DEEP STATE’S LAST STAND? the Israel attack on Gaza can only be understood in terms of US politics and the overriding need of the deep state to prevent Trump becoming President in 2024. So now I will turn to someone who really understands the United States and how it is functioning, Colonel Douglas MacGregor, whose wisdom and clear, authoritative and beguiling presentations are making him indispensable. This is taken from this interview
A SOCIETY IN FREE FALL
I think Europeans, look at President Biden and they see a living metaphor for what has happened to us [the USA] as a nation. They see us as on a very steep decline. We no longer control our borders. We don't control immigration. We don't suppress criminality. It is as the United States has become a society in free fall. We don't even know who we are. We don't have an identity. We stand by and watch as the federal government and its armed supporters and the civil populace deface monuments and tear down monuments and destroy our heritage, our culture, our history. Europeans watch this and they say, well, it looks like the Americans are finished.
And at the same time, look at someone like Olaf Scholz, who is now wants to declare emergency conditions in Germany, on the on the grounds that Germany has to be ready to fight Russia, which is, of course, laughable. In reality, he's trying to prepare his regime to suppress opposition to it inside Germany. That is appalling. But that's where he's headed.
I wouldn't be surprised if Mr. Macron doesn't end up in the same position. All of these governments in the West are going to be swept away. They're finished. They're done. Their populations have had it with them. They are going to be replaced, but they're not going to be replaced by the people or people like the individuals that are currently governing Western Europe or this country.
A DEAD MAN WALKING
NATO is not growing stronger. It's dead man walking. It, too, is on life support behind the scenes. Everybody is saying, now what? And if you ask them, well, you know, it's time for you to mobilize your armed forces and march east. They all look at you as though you've lost your mind, and they're right to do so. They're not going anywhere to fight. Neither are we.
Gaza is not an American national security interest. It may be an American domestic political interest, but not a national security interest to put American troops there. No. But bear in mind that if this widens, if this escalates, and, you know, I've expressed my view in the past that I fear escalation. I don't see how we avoid it. I don't see how this does not eventually engulf the entire region. The request for U.S. troops will come at a point in time where the purpose is to rescue Israel. And I'm not sure that when that comes, we'll be able to do it. Because again, we're not the great military power of 1990 and 91. We're a shadow of our former selves.
NETANYAHU CONTROLS CONGRESS
But from Mr. Netanyahu's standpoint, he's in control of Congress, [through bribes and see below] and he has the upper hand inside the White House itself, I suspect, and I would not be at all surprised if this does not go on all the way into the next year in Gaza. The question is, as this begins to wind down in Gaza and there's nothing left and almost nobody left to live there, what happens in the rest of the region?
… you have this very dangerous element in Washington that's decided that the solution to all of our troubles is to strike Iran, right? That going to war with Iran will solve the problems in the Middle East and help us.
Well, they must be responding to donors because I see no evidence for that argument whatsoever. That would be catastrophic for us. And remember, the Chinese have very serious interests in the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Peninsula, access to the Red sea, access to the Persian Gulf, the Indian Ocean, not for the purpose of attacking us or challenging us. That's all nonsense. They are desperately dependent upon food, oil and gas that come from those regions, especially from Africa. When it comes to food, are they going to sit by and watch Iran destroyed when they depend so heavily on it?
And what does Russia do? Russia now has probably the most experienced and capable military force in the world. What are they going to do? They're going to stand by and watch us pulverize Iran into rubble? I don't think so. So I don't see how this helps us. But that seems to be the undercurrent inside the Beltway. “Well, we know how to solve the problem in Gaza, go to war with Iran.” Insane. Why do they hate Iran and why do they hate Putin? Is it just because they want to feed their masters in the military industrial complex,
Washington is a planet. It's not part of the rest of us. I don't know how many times I've tried to talk to people in Washington inside the Beltway, particularly members of the House, to a lesser extent the Senate. There are a few that understand, but not very many. Life out there is not very good right now. The situation is very, very bad. And they say, oh yes, of course, of course, but we're confident we can cope with that. Well, if you live in a gated community, …, if you're remote from reality. Yeah. I suppose you can manage everything.
CONGRESS BOUGHT BY ISRAËL
And Colonel MacGregor has reported in the past how the majority of members of the US Congress received campaign donations from Israel and Israeli lobby groups. So Congress is effectively bought
MintPress News has broken down the top ten currently serving politicians who have taken the most pro-Israel cash since 1990.
1 President Joe Biden, $4,346,264
2 Robert Menéndez, $2,483,205
3 Mitch Mcconnell, $1,953,160
4 Chuck Schumer, $1,725,324
5 Steny Hoyer, $1,620,294
6 Ted Cruz, $1,299,194
7 Ron Wyden, $1,279,376
8 Dick Durbin, $1,126,020
9 Josh Gottheimer, $1,109,370
10 Shontel Brown, $1,028,686
The idea that you can have a democracy where foreign states can buy domestic politicians, including the president is absurd. This is why Macgregor speaks of “a society in free fall”
Putting together my interpretation of the geopolitical situation and Colonel MacGregor’s insights into Washington, the overall scenario suggests that 2024 is going to be a year upon which the future or our world, in many great respects, is going to turn.
Almost everything depends on Trump’s re-election or not
Peter Kellow